-The polls were wrong. Again.
In most of the Western world, pre-election polls from the last ten years have been wrong — massively wrong at times. Clearly there is a larger and larger percentage of people who have very strong opinions, who absolutely plan to vote, and who have no intentions of sharing their opinions with anyone before the elections.
I wonder if this is the result of the PC police and the harshness with which personal opinions have been assaulted in recent years. At the end of the day, the PC police are not making much headway in changing people’s hearts, but they do make the ideologically non-mainstream people go underground with their opinions.
-I think both sides lied.
I do understand that there is a global economy, and the Brexit will disrupt some established economic patterns. However there is a huge economic powerhouse in London that is vastly creative, immeasurably vested in self-perpetuation and deeply in bed with the political establishment. I believe they will use every imaginable legal and covert tool to mitigate the consequences to the nation’s economy and, in the medium term, be reasonably successful at righting the economic ship.
Five years from now I doubt that the real economy (as distinct from the phantom economy of the stock exchange) will be significantly better or worse for having left. And if Britain had stayed, I doubt that their economy would have been significantly better or worse five years from now either.
The Draconian threats and Utopian promises were both myths.
-Locking the barn after the horse is stolen
William Congreve is credited with the phrase, “Hell hath no fury like a woman scorned.” I think this will be well applied to the EU. Having been scorned by the Brits, I expect the EU to do everything in its power to make the divorce brutal for Britain.
This will be in part to punish them for spurning the Grand Dame, but much more to the point, to dissuade other EU members who are already talking about their own exit, from ever considering a divorce.
The liberal press alternatively blames the Brexit vote on immigration issues and then denies that this had anything to do with the question at all.
For those who do embrace that explanation, the Leave camp is excoriated for “xenophobia” which is the high brow word for racism.
And this is simply unfair.
Humans are passionate about boundaries and personal turf. From the child who valiantly fights for one toy while shrieking “MINE!” to the adults who fence their yards, lock their cars, guard their passwords and long to have their own reserved parking space, we are creatures of ownership and boundaries.
When God created a single-race couple, He gave them turf with boundaries. Throughout history, men and animals have defended boundaries and the right to have boundaries, relentlessly.
A great number of people feel their governments have sold their birthrights by failing to defend the boarders of their nation. When the government or the press diverts attention from the border issue by calling it a racial issue, it is simply that. A diversion.
Are there racists in Britain? No doubt.
But I am highly skeptical that the racists carried the day.
However, regardless of the press and the government’s attempts to downplay or deny the border issues, I am guessing that the basic, visceral, God-designed human drive to have safe borders did play into the final vote.
Just a hunch.
Copyright June 2016 by Arthur Burk
From the Hub